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Server armageddon?
I am looking for input on how the following will impact server purchases over the next 5 years:
1. Will server virtualization reduce the number of servers needed by users?
2. Will micro-server technology (i.e Arm/Atom) impact traditional rack/blade designs?
3. How will cloud computing impact traditional server ecosystems?
theflash1932
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March 12th, 2013 14:00
1. Yes, it will reduce the number of physical servers needed, but not necessarily the actual cost of hardware.
2. Probably not in traditional servers; they lack the processing power for demanding server tasks. It may affect blade design, as the idea of a blade server is to pack as many physical systems into the smallest space possible, but on the flip side, because of reduced processing power, more blades may be needed to meet specific processing needs.
3. Cloud computing has the potential to reduce the number of servers and overall processing power needed within the walls of an environment. Consider a company of 100 employees with a $5000 server (plus $5000 worth of Exchange licenses), a $5000 server (plus $5000 in SQL Server licenses), and a $3000 server (plus $4000 worth of CAL's as Domain Controller, print server, and file shares) ... plus an $80K/year admin to manage them. The company moves Exchange and SQL to the "cloud", $400/month for Exchange online ($4/user), $100/month for SQL Server on Azure, and $50K/year for an admin who can manage Active Directory (on the single server they bought and stuck in a closet, not a dedicated server/comm room) and act as local tech support ... company saves $24K/year (plus the initial hardware/software/licensing purchase) = $164,000 over the next 5 years.
Jackmacmac
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March 12th, 2013 16:00
Does this $ forecast for servers, with a huge shift to cloud servers, look reasonable, given the paradigm shifts mentioned?
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
Rack and Blade Servers 10,412 11,832 12,587 13,846 15,092 16,375
Dept/Midrange Servers 11,194 10,875 10,070 11,731 13,388 14,432
Larger Server Systems 22,717 24,167 20,139 19,132 17,219 16,358
Cloud/Storage Servers 3,927 6,042 7,552 8,912 11,139 13,367
Total $48,250 52,916 50,348 53,621 56,838 60,532
theflash1932
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March 12th, 2013 20:00
Is this in $thousands? For a specific business segment? For a particular company, and if so, what kind/size of company are we talking about?
Jackmacmac
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March 13th, 2013 06:00
It is world consumption of servers in millions. e.g. $48,250 = $48.25 Billion. The base numbers track closely with IDC/Gartner. What is needed is whether the projected numbers look right - or whether cloud servers will take an even larger share. It is also possible virtualization and micrfo-servers will eat into the first two categories.